Omega-U (Uncertainty)
What it inspects
Omega-U inspects uncertainty visibility: bounds, sensitivity, fragility, and confidence qualifiers. It structures uncertainty and identifies where confidence is warranted vs unwarranted.
When to use
Use Omega-U when you need to identify and structure uncertainty. It's particularly useful for:
- •Identifying unknowns in claims or decisions
- •Structuring ambiguity or unclear information
- •Examining what cannot be determined
Structure
Omega-U structures uncertainty inspection into:
- Known unknowns: What is recognized as uncertain or unknown
- Unknown unknowns: What is not recognized as uncertain
- Ambiguity: Where information is unclear or can be interpreted multiple ways
- Unknowable: What cannot be determined from available information
Micro-example
Claim: "This strategy will double revenue in 18 months"
Known unknowns: Market conditions; competitive response; execution capability.
Unknown unknowns: Unforeseen market shifts; regulatory changes; technology disruptions.
Ambiguity: What "double" means (gross vs net); what "revenue" includes.
Unknowable: Future market conditions; long-term competitive dynamics.
Where it applies
Omega-U applies wherever uncertainty needs structured inspection: strategic planning, risk assessment, research evaluation, and decision support. It helps identify and organize what's unknown or unclear.